Oscar Predictions

One of my favorite evenings is almost upon us , yes I am talking about Oscar night . This year I am particularly excited as I have seen more films prior to the show than ever before and thus have a good opinion about what I think should win also on the bigger races I will guess who might win. I am going to pick who I think will win and who I think should win. The films I have not seen will be Italic.

Actor in a Leading Role
Javier Bardem in “Biutiful”
Jeff Bridges in “True Grit”
Jesse Eisenberg in “The Social Network”
Colin Firth in “The King’s Speech” – Will win
James Franco in “127 Hours” – Could win , Should win

Actor in a Supporting Role
Christian Bale in “The Fighter” Will win, Should Win
John Hawkes in “Winter’s Bone”
Jeremy Renner in “The Town”
Mark Ruffalo in “The Kids Are All Right”
Geoffrey Rush in “The King’s Speech” – Could Win

Actress in a Leading Role
Annette Bening in “The Kids Are All Right” – Could Win
Nicole Kidman in “Rabbit Hole”
Jennifer Lawrence in “Winter’s Bone”
Natalie Portman in “Black Swan” – Will win , Should win
Michelle Williams in “Blue Valentine” – Should Win

Actress in a Supporting Role
Amy Adams in “The Fighter” – Should win
Helena Bonham Carter in “The King’s Speech”
Melissa Leo in “The Fighter” – Will win
Hailee Steinfeld in “True Grit” – Could win
Jacki Weaver in “Animal Kingdom”

Animated Feature Film
“How to Train Your Dragon” Chris Sanders and Dean DeBlois
“The Illusionist” Sylvain Chomet
“Toy Story 3” Lee Enrich – Will win , Should Win

Art Direction
“Alice in Wonderland” – Will win
Production Design: Robert Stromberg; Set Decoration: Karen O’Hara
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” 
Production Design: Stuart Craig; Set Decoration: Stephenie McMillan
“Inception” Should Win
Production Design: Guy Hendrix Dyas; Set Decoration: Larry Dias and Doug Mowat
“The King’s Speech” – Could Win
Production Design: Eve Stewart; Set Decoration: Judy Farr
“True Grit” 
Production Design: Jess Gonchor; Set Decoration: Nancy Haigh

“Black Swan” Matthew Libatique – Should win
“Inception” Wally Pfister
“The King’s Speech” Danny Cohen – Could win
“The Social Network” Jeff Cronenweth
“True Grit” Roger Deakins- Will win

Costume Design
“Alice in Wonderland” Colleen Atwood – Should win , Could Win
“I Am Love” Antonella Cannarozzi
“The King’s Speech” Jenny Beavan – Will Win
“The Tempest” Sandy Powell
“True Grit” Mary Zophres

“Black Swan” Darren Aronofsky
“The Fighter” David O. Russell
“The King’s Speech” Tom Hooper – Could win
“The Social Network” David Fincher Should win , Will win
“True Grit” Joel Coen and Ethan Coen

Documentary (Feature)
“Exit through the Gift Shop” Banksy and Jaimie D’Cruz- Should win
“Gasland” Josh Fox and Trish Adlesic
“Inside Job” Charles Ferguson and Audrey Marrs- Will win
“Restrepo” Tim Hetherington and Sebastian Junger
“Waste Land” Lucy Walker and Angus Aynsley

Documentary (Short Subject)
“Killing in the Name” Jed Rothstein
“Poster Girl” Sara Nesson and Mitchell W. Block
“Strangers No More” Karen Goodman and Kirk Simon – Will win
“Sun Come Up” Jennifer Redfearn and Tim Metzger
“The Warriors of Qiugang” Ruby Yang and Thomas Lennon

Film Editing
“Black Swan” Andrew Weisblum
“The Fighter” Pamela Martin
“The King’s Speech” Tariq Anwar
“127 Hours” Jon Harris
“The Social Network” Angus Wall and Kirk Baxter – Will win

Foreign Language Film
“Biutiful” Mexico
“Dogtooth” Greece
“In a Better World” Denmark
“Incendies” Canada – Will Win
“Outside the Law (Hors-la-loi)” Algeria

“Barney’s Version” Adrien Morot
“The Way Back” Edouard F. Henriques, Gregory Funk and Yolanda Toussieng
“The Wolfman” Rick Baker and Dave Elsey – Will win

Music (Original Score)
“How to Train Your Dragon” John Powell
“Inception” Hans Zimmer – Should win
“The King’s Speech” Alexandre Desplat- Could win
“127 Hours” A.R. Rahman
“The Social Network” Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross- Will Win

Music (Original Song)
“Coming Home” from “Country Strong” Music and Lyric by Tom Douglas, Troy Verges and Hillary Lindsey
“I See the Light” from “Tangled” Music by Alan Menken Lyric by Glenn Slater
“If I Rise” from “127 Hours” Music by A.R. Rahman Lyric by Dido and Rollo Armstrong
“We Belong Together” from “Toy Story 3″ Music and Lyric by Randy Newman – Will win , Should win

Best Picture
“Black Swan” Mike Medavoy, Brian Oliver and Scott Franklin, Producers
“The Fighter” David Hoberman, Todd Lieberman and Mark Wahlberg, Producers
“Inception” Emma Thomas and Christopher Nolan, Producers – Should Win
“The Kids Are All Right” Gary Gilbert, Jeffrey Levy-Hinte and Celine Rattray, Producers
“The King’s Speech” Iain Canning, Emile Sherman and Gareth Unwin, Producers- Will Win
“127 Hours” Christian Colson, Danny Boyle and John Smithson, Producers
“The Social Network” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca and Ceán Chaffin, Producers- Could win
“Toy Story 3” Darla K. Anderson, Producer
“True Grit” Scott Rudin, Ethan Coen and Joel Coen, Producers
“Winter’s Bone” Anne Rosellini and Alix Madigan-Yorkin, Producers

Short Film (Animated)
“Day & Night” Teddy Newton – Will win
“The Gruffalo” Jakob Schuh and Max Lang
“Let’s Pollute” Geefwee Boedoe
“The Lost Thing” Shaun Tan and Andrew Ruhemann
“Madagascar, carnet de voyage (Madagascar, a Journey Diary)” Bastien Dubois

Short Film (Live Action)
“The Confession” Tanel Toom
“The Crush” Michael Creagh
“God of Love” Luke Matheny
“Na Wewe” Ivan Goldschmidt- Will win
“Wish 143” Ian Barnes and Samantha Waite

Sound Editing
“Inception” Richard King – Will win
“Toy Story 3” Tom Myers and Michael Silvers
“Tron: Legacy” Gwendolyn Yates Whittle and Addison Teague
“True Grit” Skip Lievsay and Craig Berkey
“Unstoppable” Mark P. Stoeckinger

Sound Mixing
“Inception” Lora Hirschberg, Gary A. Rizzo and Ed Novick – Will win
“The King’s Speech” Paul Hamblin, Martin Jensen and John Midgley
“Salt” Jeffrey J. Haboush, Greg P. Russell, Scott Millan and William Sarokin
“The Social Network” Ren Klyce, David Parker, Michael Semanick and Mark Weingarten
“True Grit” Skip Lievsay, Craig Berkey, Greg Orloff and Peter F. Kurland

Visual Effects
“Alice in Wonderland” Ken Ralston, David Schaub, Carey Villegas and Sean Phillips
“Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 1” Tim Burke, John Richardson, Christian Manz and Nicolas Aithadi
“Hereafter” Michael Owens, Bryan Grill, Stephan Trojansky and Joe Farrell
“Inception” Paul Franklin, Chris Corbould, Andrew Lockley and Peter Bebb – Will win , should win
“Iron Man 2” Janek Sirrs, Ben Snow, Ged Wright and Daniel Sudick

Writing (Adapted Screenplay)
“127 Hours” Screenplay by Danny Boyle & Simon Beaufoy
“The Social Network” Screenplay by Aaron Sorkin – Will win
“Toy Story 3” Screenplay by Michael Arndt; Story by John Lasseter, Andrew Stanton and Lee Unkrich
“True Grit” Written for the screen by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
“Winter’s Bone” Adapted for the screen by Debra Granik & Anne Rosellini

Writing (Original Screenplay)
“Another Year” Written by Mike Leigh
“The Fighter” Screenplay by Scott Silver and Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson; 
Story by Keith Dorrington & Paul Tamasy & Eric Johnson
“Inception” Written by Christopher Nolan – Should win
“The Kids Are All Right” Written by Lisa Cholodenko & Stuart Blumberg
“The King’s Speech” Screenplay by David Seidle- Will win

So here are the Totals

Kings Speech -4
Best Picture
Costume Design
Best Actor
Best Original Screenplay

The Social Network -4
Best Director
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Score
Film Editing

Special Effects
Sound Editing
Sound Mixing

The Fighter -2
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress

Toy Story 3-2
Best Song
Best Animated Picture

Black Swan , Incendies, Alice and Wonderland , Inside Job , True Grit and Wolfman all win one


The Karate Kid Part 7 ?

So I would like everyone to take a seat , I don’t care where your at please just sit down . After I tell you my news I would hate to have any concussions or injuries on my conscience . I Andrew Dubay of sound mind and body have agreed to run a half marathon in july with Cathleen ( who will be doing the whole shebang).

Anyone who knows me , knows that of course I look like this

No this is going to be the most difficult thing I have ever done how am I going to get my body to keep moving for 13 miles ? I looked like this after just three miles

I told Cathleen that the only way I was going to be able to pull this off was with some major training , I told her it was going to be the Karate kid all over again . She will be Pat Morairty and I will be a Young Ralph Machio .

This is going to be the most difficult and stupidest things I have ever done Cathleen is going to beat my body to with an inch of its life.

I have to mold my body from this

To this

Not that I will be complaining when I look like this because frankly it’s a lot better than my pooh tummy. Now I have run three miles every morning since this decision bringing my grand total of miles this week to six .I did encounter a problem on Thursday I found out there is a little something called Chafing and it’s a bitch . My “inner” thighs might have been lit on fire and burnt right next to Joan of Arc . It was sheer torture . I don’t know if this is the right “life goal “ for me . I should have just pledged to eat more or something , maybe a hot dog eating contest . Well I will keep you all up to date on my ever dying body and the pains I bring upon it .

Top Profile Picture Friends :)

One day the girls and I were having a discussion and I mentioned how many times I change my profile picture on face book. Then Someone asked ( Maybe me ) I wonder who is in those Photos the most ?

So I went through and counted them all and Came up with the top Eight 
Starting At Number 
8: Chi-Chi makes an appearance in my Profile Pictures 6 Times 

Tied for 6th Place are 
6: Jennifer and Danny with 13 Photos each

5: Cathleen is number five with 14

4: Fatmy is 4th place with 15

3: Nicole is pulling in third with 17 photos

2: Sabin is in second with 21

1: and Number one is no surprise KELLY with 33 Photos ?

New Music

Ten Songs you need to hear

1:Mumford and Sons : Little Lion Man

2: Arcade Fire: The Suburbs

3: Regina Specktor: The Call

4: Lady Antebellum; need to Know

5: Sky Sailing : Alaska

6: Florence and The Machine: My Boy Builds Coffins

7:Nichole Alden: Baby Now

8: Spoon: The Underdog

9: James Blunt: Stay the night

10: Josh Groban; Higher window


My Favorite Movie Quotes of the year

Mark Zuckerberg: I think if your clients want to sit on my shoulders and call themselves tall, they have the right to give it a try – but there’s no requirement that I enjoy sitting here listening to people lie. You have part of my attention – you have the minimum amount. The rest of my attention is back at the offices of Facebook, where my colleagues and I are doing things that no one in this room, including and especially your clients, are intellectually or creatively capable of doing.
– The Social Network

Dickie Eklund: Do you think I knocked down Sugar Ray Leonard?
Mickey Ward: Yeah, sure I do. You were the pride of Lowell. You were my hero, Dicky.
Dickie Eklund: I was. I was.
– The Fighter
Nina Sayers: I was perfect…
– Black Swan
Mattie Ross: You must pay for everything in this world, one way and another. There is nothing free except the grace of God.
– True Grit
Mal: You’re waiting for a train. A train that will take you far away. You can’t be sure where it will take you. But it doesn’t matter – because we’ll be together.
– Inception

Janine Cody: You’ve done some bad things sweetie.
– Animal Kingdom
Mr. Pricklepants: Sunnyside is a place of ruin and despair, ruled by an evil bear who smells of strawberries!
– Toy Story 3
Ree: I’d be lost without the weight of you two on my back. I ain’t going anywhere.
– Winters Bone
Doug MacRay: But I know I’ll see you; this side or the other.
– The Town
King George VI: Get up! Y-you can’t sit there! GET UP!
Lionel Logue: Why not? It’s a chair.
King George VI: T-that… that is Saint Edward’s chair.
Lionel Logue: People have carved their names on it.
King George VI: L-listen to me… listen to me!
Lionel Logue: Why should I waste my time listening to you?
King George VI: Because I have a voice!
Lionel Logue: …yes, you do.
– The Kings Speech
Aron Ralston: You know, I’ve been thinking. Everything is… just comes together. It’s me. I chose this. I chose all this. This rock… this rock has been waiting for me my entire life. It’s entire life, ever since it was a bit of meteorite a million, billion years ago. In space. It’s been waiting, to come here. Right, right here. I’ve been moving towards it my entire life. The minute I was born, every breath that I’ve taken, every action has been leading me to this crack on the out surface.
– 127 Hours
Dean: I feel like men are more romantic than women. When we get married we marry, like, one girl, ’cause we’re resistant the whole way until we meet one girl and we think I’d be an idiot if I didn’t marry this girl she’s so great. But it seems like girls get to a place where they just kinda pick the best option… ‘Oh he’s got a good job.’ I mean they spend their whole life looking for Prince Charming and then they marry the guy who’s got a good job and is gonna stick around.
– Blue Valentine
Dan Brenner: …that your ransom video already has 47,000 hits on YouTube.
– Buried
Jules: …marriage is hard… Just two people slogging through the shit, year after year, getting older, changing. It’s a fucking marathon, okay? So, sometimes, you know, you’re together for so long, that you just… You stop seeing the other person. You just see weird projections of your own junk. Instead of talking to each other, you go off the rails and act grubby and make stupid choices… You know if I read more Russian novels, then…
– The kids are alright
Rufus Scrimgeour: These are dark times, there is no denying. Our world has perhaps faced no greater threat than it does today. But I say this to our citizenry: We, ever your servants, will continue to defend your liberty and repel the forces that seek to take it from you! Your Ministry remains, strong.
– Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows part 1
Hiccup: This is Berk. It snows nine months out of the year, and hails the other three. What little food grows here is tough and tasteless. The people that grow here, even more so. The only upsides are the pets. While other places have ponies, or parrots… we have dragons.
– How to Train your Dragon
Banksy: Yeah, I was faced with that terrible thing, when somebody shows you their work and everything about it is shit… so… you don’t really know where to start.
– Exit Through the Gift Shop

Adventures with a Frenchmen

A couple weeks ago I as given a very special job “ tour guide / baby sitter” I was informed that French chef was coming into Juneau for a couple hours in between flights and had to be taken care of for a while. Brenda knew I would be perfect for the job because it basically was time for me to talk and drive around town.
Now we pick up Julian at the airport and Brenda takes us first to the Mendenhall glacier where we can show him the coolest thing Juneau has to offer. Of course the glacier is amazing and even I just stand there staring at it . I love the majestic beauty of the glacier and how it’s every changing. It’s truly an amazing thing to be able to see.
After the glacier we drop Brenda off at a meeting and we are free to go wherever. Of course I ask “what would you like to see?” “Boats I want to see boats “what the hell? So I drive him to the docks and was inwardly hoping that seeing them from the car would be enough for him, alas no we had to walk down and get really close to these boats. Now it was pretty cold that day and I was not prepared to be walking around a frozen dock looking at boats. He taught me lots of information I never cared nor needed to know about the boating life. Finally we got back in the car and I happily told him it was time for lunch. We drove to the Silver bow Café and proceeded to order our food and chat.
Julian is super cool and has lot of great stories to tell so we were having a very animated conversation.
– Sidebar I am someone who does not have a regulator on my voice its very loud and high pitched; sometimes only dogs can hear me.
Now my little French friend is very loud and animated too, if you have never been in Silver bow its awkwardly quite and really just kind of a weird place. Some lady from the back of the café gets up and walks to our table she is probably mid to late fifties smaller build with white hair she then says to us. (Hand of god this is the exact truth I am not adding to this at all).

” I know you have many amazing stories to tell and have done many awesome things in your life but could you be quiet?”

No I don’t what kind of tree branch she had stuck up her ass but man was it a big one. I have been scolded and even yelled at in public places before but never has anyone been this bitchy to me. As we left the place Julian said a bit too loudly “if she does not want to hear people talk then she should stay home to drink her coffee”.